BRICS & India – Key Points in Simple Form
1. Trump’s Statement & Reality
- Trump called BRICS “anti-American” and threatened up to 10% tariffs if it built an alternative to the US-led system.
- This reflects fear more than fact — BRICS is not inherently against the US.
2. BRICS Composition & Purpose
- Now, 11 members: Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, the UAE, Ethiopia, Indonesia, and Iran.
- 45% of the world population, ~35% of GDP.
- Seeks a fairer global order, especially for the Global South, not to weaken the US.
3. Western Anxiety
- Concern mainly over BRICS’ talk of financial reform and reducing dollar dependence.
- Brazilian president’s 2023 idea of a BRICS currency had no consensus.
4. Why a BRICS Currency is Hard
- Members are diverse in terms of their political, economic, and geographical backgrounds.
- Some have tense relations (e.g., India–China).
- No common market, fiscal authority, or free trade network like the Eurozone.
5. Current Financial Cooperation
- BRICS Pay launched in 2018 to reduce reliance on SWIFT — still small in scale.
- India’s stance:
- Not for de-dollarisation.
- No proposal for a BRICS currency (Jaishankar, 2024).
- Local currency trade is for risk control, not replacing the dollar.
6. Currency Peg Issues for India
- Likely pegged to the yuan, rouble, or dirham (more liquid globally than the rupee).
- This could reduce rupee’s value, raise trade costs, and limit monetary control.
7. Trade Pattern Limits
- Much of India’s trade is with non-BRICS countries.
- BRICS currencies would have limited use; the dollar remains more practical.
8. Risk of Dependence
- Pegging to yuan/rouble increases dependence on China/Russia.
- Could give them greater economic influence over India.
9. Threat to Monetary Sovereignty
- Common currency needs aligned macroeconomic policies — unlikely.
- India prefers policy independence to control inflation & growth.
10. India’s Balanced Approach
- Uses local currencies in limited cases (e.g., countries with dollar shortages).
- Focus is reforming IMF/World Bank for more Global South representation.
- BRICS role: push fairness, not replace the dollar.
11. Volatility Risks
- Yuan, rouble, dirham have external vulnerabilities (sanctions, capital controls, oil prices).
- Dollar is still more stable and predictable.
12. Areas for Safe Cooperation
- Cross-border digital payments.
- Financial transparency.
- Lower transaction costs in South-South trade.
- These don’t require a single currency.
13. Strategic Caution
- India avoids deep currency ties with China/Russia.
- No major local currency trade deals even with them — shows hesitation.
14. US Tariff Threats
- May grab headlines but unlikely to stop multipolar economic trends.
- Could hurt US exporters more than partners.
Conclusion
- BRICS is a diplomatic platform for India to represent the Global South.
- India’s priority:
- Keep strategic autonomy.
- Maintain monetary flexibility.
- Reform existing institutions, not create risky new currencies.
- De-dollarisation and BRICS currency offer little benefit for India now.